Wednesday, May 25, 2011

Tigers lose series to Pittsburgh, "Sweep" Rays, get washed out by Boston.

OK.. so "sweep" is a strong term for winning two games and having the third rained out, but the Tigers DID put together a minor winning streak winning the last game against Pittsburgh and the next two against a good Tampa Bay team.  After a rainout last week against Toronto, the Tigers went into Fenway Park and lost two to Boston.  This week Boston came into town and picked up where last week ended starting with their 3rd straight win against the Tigers in a rain shortened game to start a four-game Thu/Fri/Sat/Sun series at Comerica Park.

Charlie Furbush shut down Rays.
Lots of changes on the Pitching staff this week.  Phil Coke went down with a turned ankle during the first game against the Rays, and fortunately Detroit had just brought Charlie Furbush up from AAA Toledo to replace long-relief lefty Brad Thomas who went on the DL May 21st with an elbow issue.  Furbush excelled filling in the middle innings of Coke's start striking out three batters, and scattering two hits in the three and 2/3 innings he worked.  The Tigers also brought up fellow lefty Adam Wilk after putting Coke on the DL.  In addition they sent Brayan Villarreal back to Toledo and brought back Enrique Gonzalez.  Gonzalez hadn't pitched with the Tigers since the disastrous relief appearance against Seattle April 19th where he gave up four walks and two hits in less than two innings leading to a 13-3 Detroit loss.  Andy Oliver will also be coming up from Toledo to pitch one of the games against Boston this weekend while Phil Coke is out.

Good news/bad news from the "sweep" of Tampa Bay?  The good news is Detroit didn't have to face the Rays top two pitchers since they had just pitched the previous two games.  The other good news is they only had to face American League leading hitter Matt Joyce once, since he does not play games against left-handed starting pitchers (hitting only .150-ish against lefties) and sat out the Phil Coke pitched game.  The bad news is they had to face him in the next game against Justin Verlander and he went 3 for 4 with 2 RBIs, and nearly 4 for 4 if it hadn't been for a spectacular catch by rookie Tiger outfielder Andy Dirks in left field.

Sizemore gone...Danny Worth comes in.
Who's hot and who's not?  Who's not?  Fielders Sizemore, Raburn and Inge and pitchers Ryan Perry and Enrique Gonzalez are definitely NOT hot. (See regular season numbers.)  Raburn and Inge are striking out and not hitting against right-handed pitching, while Perry and Gonzalez recently combined to give Boston 5 more runs on top of the 7 they took from starter Max Scherzer during the rain-shortened game, and Sizemore's lack of hitting has finally caught up with him.  After two separate chances in the Majors with the Tigers last year and this year, the Tigers have traded him to Oakland for a lefty reliever finally giving up on his lack of hitting.  The Tigers bring up Danny Worth to replace him.  Worth out-hit both Sizemore and Rhymes in Spring Training this year.

Adam Wilk held Boston in check.
Who's hot?  ALL of the starters (possibly with the exception of Scherzer) and all the NEW relievers... Al Alburquerque, Adam Wilk, and Charlie Furbush.  Lefties Furbush and Wilk both filled in for struggling starters Coke and Scherzer and posted great numbers in their Major League debuts.  Somewhat reminiscent of their final Spring Training game together where each of them pitched 3 of 6 innings giving up only 3 hits.

Hot bats?  Not many, but Alex Avila served notice with 2 home runs to win the second game against the Rays.  Andy Dirks also got his first Major League home run.  Jhonny Peralta is keeping pace with Avila and although #5 hitter Victor Martinez is on a slight downward trend (see hitter trends), Miguel Cabrerra has picked him up and started hitting with a 3-run shot against the Rays as well.  While still struggling with strikeouts, Austin Jackson has started hitting again.  Now that there will be another new #2 hitter (perhaps Dirks?) the table-setters ahead of Cabrerra, Martinez and Peralta should give them some runs to drive in.  We will see.

The Tigers are due for some wins again, and with Verlander taking the mound against Boston along with a good lefty in Andy Oliver for the weekend, and then with 3 games against a struggling Minnesota team next week they could be positioned to win a few games and take advantage of any let-down by 1st-place Cleveland.  Boston is a good team and will be hard to beat.

That's it for this week.  Be sure to watch the Regular Season numbers to see how the new guys (Wilk, Furbush, Oliver, Worth) are doing, and pay attention to the Pitcher and Hitter trends.  May numbers will be wrapping up soon, and June promises to be a turning point for the team.


GO TIGERS!     ---Rob




Photo Credits:
Charlie Furbush by Robin Buckson - Detroit News
Danny Worth by John T. Greilick - Detroit News
Adam Wilk by Derick E Hingle - US Presswire

Friday, May 20, 2011

Down Streak?


Swept by the "Bo-Sox"
Are the Tigers on a down streak?  They dropped one to Toronto, then lost two close games to Boston for a 3-game losing streak.  Now the Tigers are on to Pittsburgh for a Fri/Sat/Sun 3-game series before hosting the AL East leading Tampa Bay Rays for a Mon/Tues/Wed 3-game series w/Johnny Damon's return to Comerica Park.  After that it's payback time for Boston coming into Detroit for a Thu/Fri/Sat/Sun 4-game match-up, and Minnesota to finish the home stand and the month with a Mon/Tues/Wed 3-game series.  The latest Trend charts (Pitching and Hitting) as of the end of the Boston road series and Regular Season numbers are posted to their respective pages.

Giving a look at the Hitting Trends shows Boesch, Raburn, Sizemore, and to a certain extent even Cabrerra each on a 2-week hitting slump.  The most severe are Raburn and Boesch.  The worst hitters of the 4 are Raburn and Sizemore, illustrating the Tigers near MLB-worst win record against right-handed pitching, with righties Raburn and Sizemore combining with Austin Jackson to lead the Majors in strikeouts against right-handed pitching.   On a plus note Austin Jackson is on a hitting streak, and looks to be out of his early season slump.

Looking at the Pitching trends it's obvious where the let-down has been in the 3-game losing streak.  ALL of the relievers are trending down, while starters Verlander, Penny, and Coke are improving.  Just not getting help from the late inning guys.  Also note the sea of red in the Regular Season numbers for the relievers and you'll see where the issues are.

That's it for the mini-report this week.   I'll post another after the Pitssburgh series.  Enjoy!


GO TIGERS!  ---Rob

Friday, May 13, 2011

"..Just Can't Wait to Get on the Road Again!"

Last week I predicted Tiger pitching would get them 4 wins of 6 on the road.  I was wrong.  Instead they won 5 of 6!  Finishing with a 2-game sweep of Minnesota on Wednesday.  As predicted the Tigers started the series at home against Kansas City tied for 2nd in the division with them.  After winning the first 2 games against KC they now have another series win for three series wins in a row, 7 straight wins, and have won 10 of their last 11 games!  No other team in the Major Leagues has performed as well over the last 11 games.

The Kansas City series started a stretch of 20 games in a row for the Tigers without a day off until June 2nd.  Next up are 2 against Toronto at home then on the road to Boston for 2 and Pittsburgh for the weekend series.  The Tigers will be tested when the Tampa Bay Rays come to Comerica Park after the Pittsburgh series and then again when they host the Red Sox at Comerica followed by Minnesota for the last two series of May.  By the end of May it should be clear what kind of team the Tigers have.

The questions are:  Can the streak continue?  How are they doing it?  Upside?  Downside to the streak?  How's the pitching?  Hitting?

How are they doing it?  The short answer is.. Victor Martinez.. and starting pitching.
Brad Penny getting stronger.
Starting pitching is definitely the "upside" to the current winning streak.  The starters have been getting leads from the hitters and going deep in games, letting the somewhat suspect middle relief stay on the bench.  Justin Verlander has gotten even better this year.  Brad Penny has improved every outing and only seems to be getting stronger forcing hitters into ground outs at a rate of 3 ground outs for each fly ball out (See GO/AO in Season Stats).   Rick Porcello is doing much the same and Max Scherzer is winning games even though he still struggles with control on occasion.  The weakest link is Phil Coke, but Coke has battled through some tough outings recently as he still works on acclimating to starting pitching.  The starting 5 have a lot to do with the recent string of wins, but they've been getting some hitting too.

The Tiger hitters have been on fire the last 7 games.  Austin Jackson has finally found his stride with a several game hitting streak going.   Scott Sizemore behind Jackson struggles with right-handed pitching but is finding a way to draw walks from right-handers and make left-handers pay with his bat.
Victor Martinez on hitting streak.
Although Miguel Cabrerra has faced some difficulties in the last 2 weeks striking out more and having opposing managers walk him, Victor Martinez is making them pay.  Victor has a 13 game hitting streak going which is making opposing managers regret when they pitch around Miguel.  He has been getting hits even when Cabrerra isn't, keeping innings alive and letting the bottom half of the batting order get into the fun...
Peralta matching Martinez in hitting

Keeping pace with Victor further down in the order is Jhonny Peralta.  When Victor gets on Jhonny has been driving him home.  See the "Hitting Trends" chart for what looks to be a competition between Jhonny and Victor for who can hit the best in May!  Jhonny has hit .441 in the last 10 games and Victor .459!

Yes, if the Tigers keep hitting and pitching the way they are, they are going to be tough to beat.  So is there a downside?   Concerns?

On the hitting side of things an area of concern is the continued slide that Brennan Boesch has been on over the last 9 days (See Hitting Trends).  Brennan has been inconsistent hitting in the #3 spot.  Magglio Ordonez had been struggling so much in the same spot in the order (Leyland had moved him out of the #6 spot where he was hitting, and was hitting him 3rd, where he wasn't) that he's now on the Disabled List for treatment on his ankle again.  Now that Magglio Ordonez is out, look for his replacement, left-handed hitting Andy Dirks to get some time in the outfield.  Dirks out hit ALL Tigers for the majority of Spring Training, and it wouldn't be surprising to see him replace Boesch in the #3 spot to give Brennan a rest.

Another disappointing hitter has been Brandon Inge.  Brandon is hitting .198, and only seems to get hits in clutch situations.  Perhaps because of this there was a Detroit News article on May 6th reporting that the Tigers were interested in 3rd Baseman David Wright from the New York Mets.  Wright has made the National League All-Star team 5 years in a row and is a career .300 hitter, but has only hit .152 over the last 10 games for the Mets.   Would the Tigers replace Inge?  Let's hope his bat picks up so they don't have to.

The other concern area is Ryan Raburn.  Raburn has been on a long slow glide to sub-.240 hitting currently at .214 and his slugging percentage is not any better than Don Kelly's or Austin Jackson's at the moment (See Season Stats).

On a positive note, there is a report that Carlos Guillen is back to hitting, taking fielding practice and running bases down in Lakeland.  The Tigers haven't announced when he'll be baseball ready, but when he does return look for as big an impact on Tiger hitting as adding Victor Martinez to the lineup has been.  This may bode well for the 2nd half of the season.

So can the Tiger's streak continue?  Can they keep winning at this pace?  Yes, if Scherzer and Coke can match the performances Verlander, Penny and Porcello have put in they can.  If the Tigers have to rely too much on the middle relief there are going to be some tough games to win against some tough teams coming up.  The hitting won't always be there, so you've got to have good pitching.  The Tigers can win close games, and if they continue to pitch well they will be in 1st place by June 2nd!

GO TIGERS!!     ---Rob





Photo Credits:
Brad Penny and Jhonny Peralta by John T. Greilick - Detroit News
Victor Martinez by Leon Halip - Getty Images

Saturday, May 7, 2011

"On the Road Again..."

"..just can't wait to get on the road again."  To paraphrase a Willie Nelson song.. but the Tigers usually "just can't wait" to get OFF the road again.  A road loss against Toronto to start the 4 game series might be a precursor to how much the Tigers will be glad to get OFF the road again if they don't do well on the 6-game road trip they have just started.  The end of the trip will be with the 2nd game against Minnesota on Wednesday after the 4 against Toronto with an off day on Thursday and then home again on Friday against the 2nd place Kansas City Royals.  If the Tigers do well, they may actually find themselves in 2nd place instead of Kansas City by Friday.  We shall see.

So how have they been doing?  What happened during the 7-game losing streak?  How did they turn it around with the 3 of 4 series win against the Yankees?   

The short answers are hitting and pitching.  NOT hitting during the back-to-back sweeps suffered at the hands of Seattle and Cleveland, and pitching against the Yankees with some timely hitting as well.

Downside?  Austin Jackson still struggles at the head of the lineup and Ryan Raburn struggles with strikeouts against good right-handed pitching.  Will Rhymes was starting to hit in the #2 spot before being sent down to Toledo for the hot bat of Scott Sizemore who hit the left-handed CC Sabathia hard in Sizemore's first game of the season with the Tigers.  Since then, Sizemore has struggled, going only 2 for 12 (.167) against the good right-handed pitching he faced in the following 3 games.  Brandon Inge is in a slump as well going only 3 for 24 (.125) in the last 7 games.  The hitter trends graph shows both Austin Jackson and Inge stuck at the bottom of the team hitting (see: Hitter Trends) with no signs of climbing out.  Austin will need a several game hitting streak to get him going.  The other unanswered question is whether Sizemore will find himself down there with Jackson and Inge.  Time will tell.

Magglio Ordonez

Upside?  Brennan Boesch is settled into the #3 spot, and Victor Martinez is back in the lineup.  Boesch is getting a lot of balls to hit and keeping his streak going.  Martinez being back in the lineup behind Cabrerra has made it much harder for opposing pitchers, and in one of the best moves of the season Magglio Ordonez is hitting behind Cabrerra and Martinez in the #6 spot where his bat is coming alive.  Look for Ordonez to hit his stride soon.  In the short run the Tigers may struggle as they get used to the new lineup while facing good Toronto pitching, but Martinez and Ordonez both hitting at the same time will start generating some runs and get some Tiger wins.

If they get pitching.  Phil Coke took another loss recently and Brayan Villarreal could not hold the game for him.  Meanwhile, every time Brad Thomas gets into the late innings opposing hitters seem to get on base against him with walks or hits.  Thomas is holding down the bottom of the pitching rankings for the Tigers (see the Regular Season rankings page).  Coke continues a rough stretch of pitching as he struggles to settle himself in as a starting pitcher.  Fortunately for the Tigers all of the other starters have improved, with good outings from Penny, Scherzer and Porcello winning the games against the Yankees.
Al Alburquerque
The best surprise in the bullpen this year has been the performance of young Al Alburquerque.  After a very rough Spring where he struggled to find the strike zone Alburquerque seems to be maturing as we watch and currently sits atop the pitching rankings page for the Tigers.  He leads the bullpen with 18 strikeouts while walking only 5 over 10 and 1/3 innings.

If the pitching continues the way it has over the last week, the 6-game road trip could end very well indeed.

Prediction for this week?  Tigers will win 4 of the 6 road games!


GO TIGERS!    ---Rob



Photo Credits:
Magglio Ordonez and Al Alburquerque Photos by Robin Buckson - Detroit News

Polanco and Granderson Hitting for Phils and Yanks

Granderson on track for 30 hr.
Can you imagine the hitting the Tigers would be getting if Placido Polanco was still hitting 2nd for the Tigers?  What if we still had Curtis Granderson?  Can you imagine the team the Tigers would have if they were able to keep BOTH "Grandy" and Austin Jackson?  Alas, it is not to be, so we must simply just feel happy for our former Tigers with "Polly" hitting .374 with the Phillies (despite bruising a toe with a sharp foul ball off of his foot recently, see below) and Granderson hitting 2 home runs in a recent game for the Yankees to put him on track for 30 on the season at the current pace.

Check out the rest of numbers on the "Where are they now?" stats page and the player trends on the "WATN Trends" page.   Below are summaries for recent activity involving former Tiger players we are following courtesy of "MLB Fantasy Baseball News"...





May 2, 2011 at 10:04 PM ET ET

Braves righty Jair Jurrjens yielded two earned runs on seven hits over 7 2/3 innings against the Brewers, didn't walk a batter and struck out four to move to 3-0 on Monday.

Jurrjens delivered his fourth quality start in four tries, lowering his ERA to 1.52 and his WHIP to 1.01. The righty from Curacao pitched around a couple of early singles and suffered his only damage courtesy of Yuniesky Betancourt's two-out, two-run triple in the fourth inning. The 25-year-old will have his work cut out for him on Saturday when he faces off against Roy Oswalt and the Phillies.





May 7, 2011 at 2:55 AM ET ET

Diamondbacks starter Armando Galarraga tossed 4 1/3 innings, giving up three runs (two earned) on three hits while walking six and striking out two in a no-decision against the Padres on Friday night.

Galarraga matched a career high, as he walked six before being replaced with one out in the fifth. Despite allowing nine baserunners during his stint, Galarraga was able to pitch out of most of his jams as the Padres stranded six through the first five innings. He will hope for better command when he makes his next scheduled start on May 11 at San Francisco.





May 5, 2011 at 2:26 AM ET ET

Angels reliever Jordan Walden blew his first save of the season on Wednesday, allowing two earned runs on three hits and one walk while fanning one.

Fernando Rodney allowed a run of his own in the eighth inning, so Walden's ninth-inning duties are safe for now.





May 3, 2011 at 10:55 PM ET ET

White Sox starting pitcher Edwin Jackson was victim to a hard-luck loss Tuesday vs. the Twins, yielding just one earned run on six hits and a walk while striking out two over eight strong frames.

Jackson was upstaged by a no-hitter from Twins starter Francisco Liriano, but posted his first quality start since April 7. Prior to Tuesday, the right-hander had allowed 20 earned runs in 21 1/3 innings over his last four starts. Jackson has showed flashes of brilliance this season, but tread lightly in his next scheduled start May 9 at the Angels, as the 27-year-old is 1-3 with a 7.54 ERA away from U.S. Cellular Field this year.





May 5, 2011 at 12:21 PM ET ET

Astros reliever Brandon Lyon, who blew his fourth save in eight tries Wednesday, was scheduled to fly back to Houston on Thursday to be examined by team medical director Dr. David Lintner because of weakness in his right shoulder.

Manage Brad Mills confirmed Thursday that right-hander Mark Melancon, who has allowed three earned runs and struck out 12 in 15 2/3 innings this season, will close in Lyon's absence. Lyon converted 20 of 22 save opportunities last year with the Astros after taking over as closer from Matt Lindstrom, but this year he's allowed 21 hits and nine runs in 11 1/3 innings.





May 7, 2011 at 1:07 AM ET ET

Phillies third baseman Placido Polanco left Friday's game in the seventh inning with a bruised right big toe.

X-rays were negative. Polanco fouled a pitch off his right foot in the seventh inning. He limped outside the batter's box before finishing his at-bat. He hit a ground-rule double to center field before Wilson Valdez replaced him as a pinch-runner.





May 6, 2011 at 11:55 PM ET ET

Outfielder Curtis Granderson went 2-for-4 with two homers and three RBIs in the Yankees' win over the Rangers on Friday night.

Granderson slugged a two-run homer off Rangers starter Matt Harrison just two batters into the game -- his fourth off left-handed pitching. He tacked on his second homer of the evening in the seventh inning off right-hander Ryan Tucker, pelting the facing of the second deck in right field. With ten blasts on the season, a 30-homer campaign is looking more and more likely.





May 1, 2011 at 7:25 PM ET ET

Cameron Maybin went 1-for-2 with two walks, a run and a pair of RBIs in four plate appearances on Sunday.

Maybin has been a steady force for an otherwise meager Padres offense, coming into Sunday’s game boasting a .282/.364/.436 triple-slash with six runs and five walks over his prior 10 games. Maybin’s never showed much discipline but he’s already amassed 14 free passes in 99 at-bats this year after racking up just 24 over 291 at-bats last season.





May 3, 2011 at 6:54 PM ET ET

The Dodgers placed outfielder Marcus Thames on the 15-day disabled list with a quad strain that bothered him all April and activated outfielder Jay Gibbons, who has been troubled by vision problems.

Thames, signed to provide a power right-handed bat, was hitting .176 with two homers and four RBIs in 34 at-bats. Gibbons, who slugged five homers in 75 at- bats last year after reviving his career, re-signed with the Dodgers to be the left-handed platoon-mate with Thames. But Gibbons, who had successful laser eye surgery several years ago, had unsuccessful offseason touch-up surgery and has had vision problems ever since.





May 4, 2011 at 11:43 PM ET ET

Giants first baseman Aubrey Huff went 3-for-4 with a double in a win over the Mets Wednesday night.

Despite 18 RBIs on the season, Huff is batting just .211 with 19 strikeouts. A major part of the Giants' World Series run last season, Huff batted .290 in 2010 but is yet to show any consistency at the plate so far this year. It still may be too early to cut Huff loose, as he's hit below .260 just twice in his career, but perhaps the bench is the best spot for him until his bat heats up.





May 1, 2011 at 6:34 PM ET ET

Ivan Rodriguez went 2-for-4 with two RBIs in Sunday's victory over the Giants.

Pudge's collected just 44 at-bats this season, as he's ceded regular catching duties to young Wilson Ramos. With 10 RBIs this season, Rodriguez is likely to be one of the best reserve catchers is baseball.



GO TIGERS!   ---Rob


Photo Credits:
Curtis Granderson photo - Chris Ware/Newsday/MCT
Individual player photos - MLB Fantasy Baseball News

Swept again.. then "almost" Sweep

Tigers hit the Yankees
After the Tigers got swept 2 series in a row... the Mariners at home and Cleveland on the road... they came home again only to drop the first game of 4 against the Yankees for a 7-game losing streak before bringing in Scott Sizemore's bat from AAA Toledo.  Sizemore went 3 for 3 in his first 3 at-bats in game 2 and ended up 3 for 4 to break the losing streak.  That got the Tigers rolling, starting what would become 3 straight wins against the Eastern Division leading New York Yankees for the "almost" sweep.  Up next for the Tigers is a 4-game long "wrap-around" series against Toronto, starting with a 7-4 Friday night loss, day games for the Saturday-Sunday weekend, and ending with a Monday night game.  After that they hit the road again for a short 2-game series in their first meeting with a struggling Minnesota team.